2018 Year-End Summary
Last year reminded everyone that investing is hard. It can be uncomfortable and unpleasant. Market volatility can diminish willpower and cause determination to waver. The main risk is not portfolio declines. The real risk is that instincts override the discipline investors need to achieve their long-term plan.
2016 Year-End Summary
"Anyone who isn't confused doesn't really understand the situation." -Edward R. Murrow
How to Approach Down Periods in the Markets
In the short term, markets are about Psychology;
in the medium term, they are about Economics;
and in the long term, they are about Valuations.
What If I Bought Apple...
There is a tendency, even among those who have owned Apple, to daydream about having jumped on board even earlier: "But what if I had bought Apple right after its IPO in 1980?!"
Risk Is Counterintuitive: Avoid Following the Herd
Fear of the unknown is an instinct that helps us survive, but acts against our better judgment as investors. It pushes us toward the perception of safety.
"The Market Is at an All-Time High..." What Does this Mean for Investors?
"On a daily basis, the S&P 500 trades at an all-time high 7% of the time and trades within 5% of an all-time high 36% of the time. This means that on 43% of all days, since the S&P 500’s inception, US large cap stocks were at or close to making new records. Anyone who tells you that new highs are abnormal or a reason to sell is a fool."
Emerging Markets Overview
“Emerging markets” is an asset class of developing countries that share little in common geographically, economically, or in size. What does unite them is higher expected returns and higher risk than developed markets.
The Power of Investing Diversification
Here are a couple of fantastic slides that highlight some favorite themes: diversification and the average investor's behavioral biases.
The Power of Compound Interest
Albert Einstein called compound interest "the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it ... he who doesn't ... pays it."